International Committee on issues of Global Changes of the Geological Environment, “GEOCHANGE”

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COMMUNIQUÉ “GEOCHANGE” on issues of global changes of the environment, for presentation to the UN, European Union, International Organizations and Governments of States.

This communiqué is presented on behalf of heads of international organizations, scientific institutes and centers, scientific–technical companies and scientists of different countries.

“GEOCHANGE” as used in this communiqué refers to natural changes of the environment resulting from endogenous, exogenous and cosmic factors and having negative consequences for the stable development of humanity.

Presently, multiple scientific facts indicative of the increasing environmental changes and their global nature have been collected. These changes indicate an acceleration of the growth rate of the geodynamic activity, which is expressed, in particular, as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. There is a high risk that the scale of impact of geologic factors on global climate change will be underestimated. The periodical intensification of the Earth’s endogenous activity leads to increased degassing of the mantle and emission of the greenhouse gases of geological origin into the atmosphere, causing global warming.

Alarming facts about a drastic (by more than 500%) acceleration of the drift of the Earth’s North Magnetic Pole since 1990 not only have catastrophic consequences for global climatic change but also bear witness to significant changes in energetic processes in the Earth’s inner and outer cores responsible for the formation of the geomagnetic field and endogenous activity of our planet.

The role of the magnetosphere in shaping the Earth’s climate has been scientifically proven. The changes in the parameters of the geomagnetic field and magnetosphere may lead to redistribution of the areas of formation of cyclones and anticyclones, thus affecting global climate change.

Natural cataclysms may, in a short space of time, cause catastrophic consequences for entire regions of our planet: a lot of people will die, the populations of large territories will be deprived of shelter and livelihood, economies of states will be destroyed, and large scale epidemics of serious infectious diseases will occur. Presently, the world community is not ready to face such a development of events which is quite likely. Meanwhile, periods of significant increase of endogenous activity have been observed many times during the geologic life of our planet and, according to many geologic indicators, the next such period is already starting.

Natural cataclysms leading to large numbers of victims and massive destruction in one country or another are usually accompanied by wide international assistance of different international humanitarian organizations and individual states. However, during the period of large scale natural cataclysms, a special international, legal, administrative and financial mechanism will be required for the management and coordination of rescue, restoration and other international actions carried out in natural disaster areas.

Many countries can boast the scientific knowledge accumulated and experience in forecasting of different natural cataclysms. At the same time, in most cases there aren’t definite rules for making decisions and specifying particular acts by state agencies when a need is indicated by forecasts of possible natural cataclysms. Incorrect decisions and uncoordinated actions of governmental and international structures upon receipt of such forecasts can bring panic to the population and disorganization of actions by state agencies and rescue services. It not only decreases effectiveness of preparation for natural cataclysms, but also can cause complication of the social and moral-psychological situation in the regions of the expected cataclysms.

Yet development of standards and precise rules for making decisions by the governments following reception of forecasts will help increase the effectiveness of rescue operations and restoration work and reduce the number of casualties and damage caused by natural disasters.



  • To adopt a UN Framework Convention on Global Changes of the Environment.
  • To expand the duties and membership of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and change its name to IPEC (Intergovernmental Panel on Environmental Change), with additional inclusion of volcanologists, seismologists, geophysicists, geologists, space climate and international law experts. To instruct the IPEC to:
    • Develop a UN International Program for studying and forecasting global environmental changes.
    • Develop international legal norms and mechanisms for effective management and coordination of actions of governments of countries and international humanitarian organizations upon receipt of forecasts of natural cataclysms.
  • Establish a UN International Center for Forecasting and Monitoring of Natural Cataclysms (IC FMNC).